Friday, January 29, 2016

This Week in Real Estate 1-29-16 - A Big December

Last October, the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau’s TILA-RESPA Integrated Disclosure ITRID) was implemented. Consequently, November 2015 turned out to be California’s worst home sales performance in terms of number of homes sold for the month since 2007.  But then California posted tremendous gains for December.

This article from Housing Wire, shows that we went out of 2015 with a BANG!

According to a new report from the California Association of Realtors, existing, single-family home sales jumped 9.6% in the month of December, as many sales that were pushed out of November thanks to TRID-related delays closed in December.

And according to Ziggy Zicarelli, the president of the California Association of Realtors, December’s jump in home sales in December wasn’t just large, it was historically large.

Overall, CAR’s report showed that existing, single-family home sales totaled 405,530 in December on a seasonally adjusted annualized rate, up 9.6% from November and up 10.7% from December 2014.

The month-over-month increase in sales was the largest since January 2011, and the year-to-year increase was the largest since July 2015, CAR’s report showed.

Additionally, CAR’s report showed that December’s sales of condos and townhomes were up 25.1% from November and were 10.2% higher than a year ago at the same time.

While there were more sales closed in December, the median price of an existing, single-family detached California home also rose by a historic margin.

According to CAR’s report, the median price increased 2.6% in December to $489,310 from $477,060 in November.

December’s median price was 8% above than the revised $453,270 recorded in December 2014.

The year-to-year price gain was the largest since August 2014, CAR said.

And thanks to the increase in closed sales in the month of December, the number of active listings also dropped from both the previous month and year.

According to CAR’s report, active listings at the statewide level dropped 11.7% from November and 7.9% from December 2014.
At the regional level, total active listings continued to decline from the previous year in Southern California, Central Valley, and the San Francisco Bay Area, dropping 9.6%, 7.6%, and 5.2%, respectively, CAR’s report showed.

“In line with our forecast, California’s housing market experienced strong sales and price growth throughout last year, with the median price increasing 6.2% for the year as a whole to reach $474,420 in 2015,” said CAR Vice President and Chief Economist Leslie Appleton-Young. “Looking forward, we expect the foundation for the housing market to remain strong throughout the year, with moderate increases in home sales and prices, but headwinds of tight housing supply and low affordability will remain a challenge.”


-Kris

Friday, January 22, 2016

This Week in Real Estate - 1-22-2016 - Boosting your home's value

In the doldrums of the Winter is the time to begin to think of those projects that will get you the best bang for the buck when you want to sell your home. I found this article from Consumer Reports this month and thought it was definitely worth sharing.

1: The Kitchen Is Still King
Buyers of all kinds have long focused on the kitchen, but it holds particular sway over the newest wave of first-time homeowners. A “modern/updated kitchen” topped the list of ideal home features in our survey of millennials, registering as most important to more than a third of respondents. If you plan to sell, don’t rip your kitchen down to the studs; a smaller investment can have serious impact. For as little as $5,000, you should be able to add a new suite of appliances, as well as a new countertop and flooring, resulting in a fresh, coordinated look. Applying a fresh coat of paint to the walls or cabinets, and updating the hardware, can also breathe new life into the space.
Value-Added Buzzwords
Stainless steel. 
Though it has been around for decades, this appliance finish conveys clean, contemporary design, so it will signal “updated” in the mind of the buyer. For the latest spin on stainless, look for new versions of black stainless steel from KitchenAid, LG, and Samsung, each with a softer, less reflective finish but the same cachet as the original.
Quartz countertops. Engineered from stone chips, resins, and pigments, quartz has started to challenge granite and marble as the go-to material in higher-end kitchens. It shrugged off heat, scratches, cuts, and stains in our tests, and it requires none of the upkeep of comparably priced natural stones. Expect to spend $40 to $100 per square foot, installed.
Potential bump in sale price: 3 to 7 percent
2: Make Floor Plans Work Harder
Bigger isn’t necessarily better in today’s market, but strategically increasing the amount of living space is sure to boost home value. An “open floor plan with flexible living space” was second only to an updated kitchen on millennials’ list of most desired features.
Value-Added Buzzwords
Flex rooms.
 Also known as double-duty rooms, you’ll see flex rooms advertised as an additional living area that can serve a variety of purposes, from a guest bedroom to a game room to an exercise room to a study room for the kids.
Mother-in-law apartment. These spaces go by many names, including “granny flats,” “casitas,” and the technical sounding “accessory dwelling unit,” or ADU. They can house an additional family member or provide rental income—­allowing baby boomers to afford their house once they retire or helping millennials pay the mortgage. More municipalities, particularly in Western cities, are amending zoning laws to allow for ADUs.
Upstairs laundry rooms. Younger buyers in particular say they want a dedicated laundry room, perhaps off the kitchen or even near second-floor bedrooms.
Potential bump: 4 to 6 percent
3: Don’t Let Your Home Be an Energy Hog
Lowering your home’s energy costs will save you money for as long as you live there and is expected to be a major selling point down the line. Indeed, “energy-­efficient” was second only to “safe community” on the list of attributes that would most influence a purchase decision, according to a 2015 survey by the National Association of Home Builders.
Older homeowners who have felt the sting of escalating energy costs tend to be driving the interest. But there are some early adopters among younger buyers, too, especially in regions of the country with more extreme weather. “My millennial buyers usually ask for two years’ worth of utility payments,” says Joe Rivellino, a real estate professional in the Buffalo, N.Y., area. “They want to know the R-Value on the insulation and whether the windows have low-E coatings,” he says, referring to two important efficiency measures.
And don’t forget about water heating, which accounts for 16 percent of energy costs in the typical home. Spending $1,800 to $2,400 on a new unit is another way to impress efficiency-minded buyers.
Value-Added Buzzwords
High-efficiency windows.
 Energy Star certified windows can lower your home’s energy bills by 7 to 15 percent.
That will be a selling point with buyers, though replacing every window in a home costs anywhere from $8,000 to $24,000, so you probably won’t recoup the entire investment if you plan to sell right away.
LED lights. Some listings emphasize their “green” credentials by mentioning the presence of LED lighting.
Potential bump: 1 to 3 percent
4: Keep It Simple and Stress-Free
Stain-prone stone countertops, grime-­collecting ornate cabinets, and dust-­catching wall-to-wall carpet used to be symbols of luxury, but today’s homebuyers are more likely to equate them with extra work. “We call it stress-free living,” says Miguel Berger, a real estate professional in Albany, N.Y. “The younger generation in particular would much rather spend their time entertaining at home than fussing over it.” It’s safe to assume boomers feel the same.
Beyond a home’s cosmetic finishes, it’s important to keep the major mechanical systems in working order. Many first-time buyers will have used up much of their savings on the down payment, so they want to know that the heating system, plumbing, and electricity have been recently updated. Central air conditioning is also in demand because it eliminates the need to switch window units in and out.
Value-Added Buzzwords
Updated systems.
 In addition to including the age of the system, it helps if you can also point to its reliability. For example, Consumer Reports surveys have found American Standard and Trane to be among the least repair-prone manufacturers of gas furnaces.
New roof. This will help assuage fears of water damage, ice dams, squirrel infestation, and other home disasters that can result from an old, shoddy roof.
Hardwood floors. More carpets are being replaced with long-wearing hardwood flooring with a durable factory finish. Engineered wood flooring, which uses a thin veneer of real wood or bamboo over structural plywood, tends not to wear as well as the solid stuff, though it has the same look and tends to cost less, making it a good choice if you plan to sell soon.
Potential bump: 3 to 5 percent
5: Build a Home for ‘the Ages’
By 2040, there are expected to be almost 80 million seniors accounting for 21 percent of the population. The existing housing stock isn’t equipped to safely accommodate that many older people—too many steep staircases, narrow walker-­unfriendly doorways, and slippery step-in bathtubs and showers. Forward-thinking homeowners are making necessary improvements to their home now—and those changes will benefit people of all ages, not just seniors. According to a 2015 survey by ­HomeAdvisor, 56 percent of homeowners who hired a pro for aging-related projects were younger than 65, and 10 percent were younger than 50.
Value-Added Buzzwords
Walk-in shower. 
“People in the 50-plus age range don’t want to step over the tub to take a shower,” Pekel says. Curbless showers eliminate the threshold between the shower and surrounding bathroom, making them wheelchair accessible, not to mention sleek and streamlined.
Master on main. A floor plan in which the master bedroom is on the first floor reduces the need to climb stairs. “It’s probably the most desired feature among boomers,” says JP Endres, a real estate professional based in Westchester county, north of New York City.
Comfort-height toilets. These toilets are a few inches taller, which makes getting on and off easier.
Potential bump: 1 to 2 percent
6: Paint Is Still a Potent Upgrade
Paint keeps your home looking its best while also defending its surfaces from wear, tear, and the elements. If you’re getting ready to sell, don’t blow thousands having every square inch repainted. Instead, focus on high-traffic areas, including the kitchen and bathrooms. “Your home has to look better on the day of the open house than it’s ever looked before,” says Steve Clark, a real estate professional in Los Angeles. “If the back door is covered in scratch marks from the dog, you have to fix that.”
Value-Added Buzzwords
Neutral color scheme.
 Whites and off-whites remain the top-selling interior colors and will appeal to most homebuyers, allowing them to envision the space as their own. Neutrals appeal to all generations of buyers, according to Jule Eller, trend and style director at Lowe’s.
High-quality paints. 
Potential bump: 1 to 2 percent
7: Remember the Great Outdoors
Your home’s property is another opportunity to expand its living space. Adding a deck or patio, with room for seating and a built-in or freestanding grill, is a way to create a defined space for outdoor living on a large or small scale.
But remember the rule of low upkeep, especially if your future buyer is likely to be a millennial. “They love outdoor spaces, but whereas prior generations might have gone for the pool, Gen Yers recognize the maintenance costs associated with it,” Berger says. “They’d much rather see an outdoor fire pit surrounded by a simple seating arrangement.” Don’t go for overly lush landscapes, especially in drought-stricken regions with high water costs.
Value-Added Buzzwords
Curb appeal.
 Trimming overgrown shrubs and making minor repairs to the façade, including painting the front door, can deliver quick results.
Water-smart yard. Replacing a section of turfgrass with native ground covers or pea gravel will reduce the maintenance costs while adding visual interest.
Potential bump: 3 to 5 percent
8: Make Sure Your New Technology Is Smart
High-tech features offer notoriously bad returns on investment because technologies tend to evolve quickly. “One of the biggest losers in recent years is the fully wired audiovisual system,” says Duo Dickinson, an architect based in the New Haven, Conn., area. “They’ve probably lost 80 percent of their value since everything went wireless.”
But certain smart devices add to home value and interest, including programmable thermostats. “I’ll often install a Nest thermostat in a home that doesn’t have one because it creates the impression that this is a high-tech home,” Berger says.
We’re seeing the same benefit with a range of products, such as lights, door locks, and security systems. Those smart features have broad appeal with millennials, “who grew up on smartphones, so they’re used to being able to control things at their fingertips,” Endres says. “And they’ll pay 3 to 5 percent more for a home with the right amenities.”
Value-Added Buzzwords
Programmable thermostat. The Nest is widely recognized.
Whole-house generator. Power failures are a reality for more homeowners. Stationary generators can usually power the entire property.
Potential bump: 3 to 5 percent

-Kris

Friday, January 15, 2016

This Week in Real Estate 1-15-2016 - 2015 Recap

2015 Recap

Nationally we saw existing-home sales were up 7 percent in 2015, buoyed by strong household formation (at about 1.4 million households formed in the past four quarters ending in September) and strong job growth. Distressed sales fell in 2015, as did sales to investors, international buyers, and second-home buyers.

Home prices: Home prices edged up 5 percent to 7 percent nationwide in 2015. But the level of price appreciation is still above a normal rate, mostly due to an imbalance in the number of homes for-sale and high demand.

New-home sales were up 13 percent in 2015. Most of the growth in new-home construction in 2015, however, was centered in apartment building rather than single-family homes

Locally:
Napa 2014
Napa 2015
% Change
Sonoma 2014
Sonoma 2015
% Change
Solano 2014
Solano 2015
% Change
# Listings
1701
1826
7.3%
6122
6347
3.7%
5875
6488
10.4%
# Units sold
1292
1425
10.3%
5335
5497
3.0%
4670
5467
17.1%
Month of Inventory
3.5
3.0
-14.1%
1.8
1.7
-4.2%
1.7
1.5
-7.5%
Median Price
522
571
9.4%
456
500
9.7%
306
339
10.7%

In our area, we saw similar results to the Nation. Our home sales are up, but inventory is still very tight. And our appreciation in the area is still above the national averages.


-Kris

Friday, January 8, 2016

This Week in Real Estate 1-8-2016 - Volatility in China

Volatility in China

China’s Stock market crash over the past week has resulted in our market being down from 17425 (Dec 31 2015 close) to 16514 (January 7 2016 close) as well. A drop of almost 5%.

Just last year this same event happened in August of 2015. The China Market dropped 11% in one week. Our stock market followed suit, but we rebounded to erase those losses by the end of the year.

The stock market in our global economy will have much more volatility as the global economies face hurdles. Last year we had the Greek and European debt crises. For the first time in history a country missed a payment to the IMF. There was the previously mentioned Chinese crash.

All of the turmoil in 2015 was able to keep interest rates in the mid 3% to low 4% range for the entire year. These events will likely keep the pressure on the Federal Reserve to have a more cautioned outlook for 2016.


-Kris

Friday, January 1, 2016

This Week in Real Estate - 1-1-2016 - 2016 Predictions/Trends



What will 2016 bring?

2016 will see the continuation of many trends that began in 2015

Home prices will rise more slowly. The growth in prices for 2015 slowed in our area (6-7%) year over year, but we are still higher than the 50 year average of 4.5%. With increasing interest rates there are additional pressure for the decrease in price growth.

Interest rates will likely creep higher slowly. For the first time in 9 years, the Federal Reserve raised the short term borrowing rate this December. They cautioned that future increases would be happening, but slowly. 

Inventory will improve as we return to a more stable market. In 2016 we will see very little change in government rules as we are in an election year. The market likes stability and inaction in the government. 

-Kris




Friday, December 25, 2015

This Week in Real Estate 12-25-2015

Merry Christmas.


Santa brought Lucy drums.  He brought us ear plugs.

Hope you and your family have a safe and wonderful holiday.

-Kris

Friday, December 18, 2015

This Week in Real Estate 12-18-2015 - Fed Reserve raised rates


The Fed raised rates.

For the first time in 9 years the Federal Reserve raised the short term borrowing rate. It went from 0.00% to 0.25%. This increase has been talked about for 2 years. The increase had been delayed many times as well. Initially the thought was that rates would increase in February 2015.

But it happened. And guess what? The financial markets reacted by going UP more than 200 points on Wednesday.

"I feel confident about the fundamentals driving the U.S. economy, the health of U.S. households, and domestic spending," Fed chief Janet Yellen said during a press conference. "There are pressures on some sectors of the economy, particularly manufacturing, and the energy sector...but the underlying health of the U.S. economy I consider to be quite sound."

The Fed telegraphed it will be patient with future rate increases so as not to kill the economic recovery. The central bank's statement said the economy will only merit "gradual increases" in rates, which are likely to remain low "for some time." Yellen repeatedly said during the press conference that future rate hikes will be "gradual."

CNN wrote a great article talking about the impact of these moves.

The Federal Reserve’s official press release

-Kris